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Should we just assume they are wrong?

March 6, 2013 - Pam Rodgers

For the past three weeks, the weather forecasters have been in heaven with three major storm predictions rolling into the area. And they predicted it so accurately that the latest system dropped six inches of fresh new snow on the ground.

Wait, you mean they were wrong? That never happens. No, I apologize I have the backwards. It happens all the time.

Take two weeks ago for example. The “snowpocalypse” as I called at the time had been discussed for 10 days before the storm got here. It was supposed to dump 10 plus inches of snow on us and could be windy enough to cause blizzard-like conditions. Thursday came but the “wrong” kind of snow developed, cutting our snow totals in half and nixing the blizzard possibility. Weather 1, meteorologists 0.

(Don’t get me wrong, conditions were not ideal on those days. However, the storm turned out to not be as bad as originally predicted.)

Last week happened in reverse. All weekend, the forecasters said we would get a light dusting, up to 2 inches, with the heavier snowfall to the south. Then the storm took an unpredicted left turn and dropped 10 inches on our area. Conditions were not ideal and we are still dealing with the snow that was left behind. Weather 2, meteorologists 0.

This week, reports were coming for the potential for 6 to 10 inches and another possible blizzard. The snow came on Monday and Tuesday but we only got about 3 inches and the blizzard never happened, at least not in our area. Weather 3, meteorologists 0.

A pattern seems to be developing here. I would love to work at a job where I could just guess all the time and still get paid.

Even though I know the guesswork often doesn’t pay off, I still watch the weather reports to see what may happen. Even if it’s not 100 percent accurate, knowing the chances are better than nothing. Despite all the things that were wrong, the forecasters did get one thing right: it did snow.

I know meteorology is a difficult science. It seems like you have to look at images of swirls and clouds from space and try to make sense of it. But no matter how much you study the satellite images and computer models one fact remains the the same, Mother Nature will do whatever she pleases. We humans are simply along for the ride.

 
 

 

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